My observations of those who are extolling the virtue (or simply lack of danger) vis-a-vis circumcision lead me to conclude that science is not the leading driver in their conclusion, in most cases.
I don't think that science drives many people's arguments, period. I agree -- that sucks. I'm a big believer in addressing the best arguments possible, though, not the most common arguments.
Also, if you think that most Americans who perpetuate infant circumcision have a sound reason for doing so, I think you're almost certainly mistaken.
While your attitude seems eminently reasonable, and reasonably well-informed, I have perceived some oversights in your reasoning that are coloring your perceptions (see my immediately previous reply where you overlooked the age-specific population disparity between Arab and ethnic French populations in France).
Ugh, dude, this was not a substantive error in my argument. I'm aware that Muslims are disproportionately young, and I was aware of that at the start of this conversation. I have said, since post #1, that Muslims would need to represent 75% of the sample to account for a three-fold difference (0.6% to 0.2%), if the non-Muslim populations have equal HIV rates. I am also aware that the non-Muslim populations likely don't have equal HIV rates. I wasn't ignoring these facts; I was trying to keep things simple to avoid detracting from my main point, i.e.,
your apparent conclusion -- that it is reasonable to assume the difference in European vs. American HIV rates is based on Muslim population -- would require ~75% of Europeans to be Muslims. Even if you can indicate that 30-40% of the sexually active European population is Muslim, your conclusion is still unsubstantiated.
You're "correcting" me on a slight simplification I (knowingly) made when rebutting a gaping error in your logic, while not actually defeating the rebuttal.
Most of the people in this forum who criticize circumcision have concentrated on the mutilations (a very low number) and the supposed loss of sensitivity. Speaking as a circumcised man, if my glans were any more sensitive, orgasms would have caused blood vessels in my brain to rupture decades ago.
You do realize that increased fine-touch sensitivity wouldn't make orgasm stronger, right...? This is about fine-touch sensation during sex.
Regarding your item points:
1) The results I have seen were a 60% reduction in HIV infection rates for circumcised men in the same population groups. That is not "a pretty tiny margin".
You have to realize that's not how a cost-benefits analysis works.
The rate of transmission of HIV through heterosexual sex in the U.S. means that it would probably require a few thousand circumcisions to prevent one case of HIV. The costs associated with a few thousand circumcisions (anaesthetic, hospital treatment, surgical costs, etc.) would be at least $500,000, probably much more. That's not really an effective epidemiological policy. We have much more efficacious forms of HIV prevention. Moreover, circumcision is a fairly routine procedure, but the rate of poor outcome (painful erection, inability to masturbate without lubricant, personal dissatisfaction, whatever) is probably much higher than 1/2,000.
So, yes, we're talking about "pretty tiny margins" of efficacy here.
2 & 3) Unrelated to the topic at hand. We are talking about fear, not actual results.
Huh? When considering the ethics of pre-empting someone's consent on a medical decision, it's totally relevant whether the harm associated with vaccination is an actual result or merely an unsubstantiated fear. I could expand on this, but I actually want to make sure you disagree first, because that seems like a weird thing to contest.
4) Understandable, but parents are supposed to make the best decisions for their children. Circumcision at a young age eliminates infections due to improper cleaning of the foreskin that, left untreated, can cause serious damage.
I can't tell if you're basing this on any medical/empirical knowledge, or you're just assuming that this is a thing that happens. Serious infections of the foreskin are rare, and rarely require surgery. When they do, worst case scenario is generally circumcision. Also, children of a young age don't need to clean under their foreskin because it hasn't separated. On what basis do you believe this is a common concern that justifies circumcising infants
en masse?
It's really strange to me that you get on my case about the (non-crucial) imprecision about the Muslim population share, but here you seem to be just spitballing pro-circumcision hypotheses without any research or empirical data or anything. Are you actually firmly convinced of your position, or are you just trying to play Devil's Advocate with me? I feel like it's the latter, but if it's the former, you're wildly shifting the burden of proof here.
5a) How do you define "need" in the first sentence?
A medical problem that doesn't resolve with non-surgical treatment, like topical creams or whatever. Most of those cases actually don't require a circumcision anymore (there are more conservative surgeries), but I'm trying to be as generous as possible with my numbers. Even using fairly generous numbers, infant circumcision is pretty dumb.
5b) I don't agree with your guess in the second sentence. It is highly unlikely (I'd go with "unbelievable") that men who are happy being circumcised would join a forum such as this to state that they are happy would do so in the same percentage as men who are unhappy. I only joined this thread because I noticed the thread title on the right side of the browser window. Therefore, it is impossible to develop any numbers to determine the level of dissatisfaction.
You think the number of men who would prefer to not be circumcised is less than 2%? I'm aware that a perfectly randomized, representative sample is impossible, but seriously, you think the dissatisfaction rate is likely
fewer than 1-in-50? That would require
insane self-selection bias in threads like these.