I don't think you can know. The guy's penis shape and the woman's position might suggest the anterior fornix but there are considerable variations in vaginal anatomy including shape that have been demonstrated with MRI imaging:
Baseline dimensions of the human vagina
The position of the uterus can also vary from fully anteverted to fully retroverted. I would think that vaginal shape and the position of the uterus would have to play a role in where the end of the penis winds up.
There have also been a limited number of MRI images done of couples engaging in intercourse. This study involved eight couples:
Magnetic resonance imaging of male and female genitals during coitus and female sexual arousal | BMJ
Despite the fact that us guys like to think of our erections being "rock hard" or "like iron", this study provided evidence that during intercourse the erect penis had the capacity to make an angle of up to 120 degrees to the root of the penis.
This study involved only one couple who engaged in sex (purely in the interest of scientific advancement, mind you) in an MRI tube in both the missionary and rear entry positions:
http://www-psych.stanford.edu/~knutson/ans/faix02.pdf
Various 'sexperts' had postulated that the penis preferentially contacted the posterior fornix in both the missionary and rear entry positions. For this couple, in the missionary position the man's penis "took the shape of a boomerang" with an angle between the root of the penis and the pendulous (external) portion of 110 degrees, with the glans tenting the anterior fornix 4 cm above the cervix.
In the rear entry position there was "preferential contact of posterior wall of the vagina and probably with the posterior fornix as well as the rectum through the vaginal wall". The penis had roughly the same shape and angle (100 degrees) as in missionary.
The conclusion I draw is that the little fucker doesn't always head in the direction you send it.
I will say that all of the relatively few women I have had sex with who orgasmed just about 100% of the time without direct clitoral stimulation all tended to fuck me exactly like the woman in the video demonstrated.