So, what your saying is as a Democrat Spencer will win the primary, and then will beat his Republican opponent, and keep his seat? Is that to say, then, that the Republican party in Pennsylvania has no hope of winning the 2010 senatorial election?
part of the problem for Specter was that he was in serious trouble against a far right wing conservative who was going to be running in the republican primary, and he was taking alot of heat from the more hysterical and right wing members of both the GOP and the in-state voters and GOP apparatus.
it is the smart move for him, since it will likely draw the moderate republican support he already had, the conservatives will still vote against him no matter what, and will support the new GOP candidate, and the Democratic party is thrilled, that they get a seat which was previously solid republican for many many years, and moderate democrats will have no problem at all pulling the level for Specter.
the two people who oppose him most, arch conservatives and far left liberals, are thus blunted, and he remains in power.
very smart move in his part...not to mention i would not be surprised if due to his seniority and power, he is considered for certain important strategic positions on the important committees he sits on...not to mention, he buys himself tremendous importance and goodwill and additional power from the Democrats.
rather brilliant political move on his part.
he does not need to change his political ideology one bit, merely his affiliation, and bingo, a brilliant political move.
if he was truly upset with the rightward shift of the GOP, he would have left 10 years ago. doubtless, he like many other moderates was turned off by the far right, but remained in the GOP even as a "RINO" to suggest that he has left for ideological purposes does not really ring true, since now, he is going to be labelled a "DINO".
this was politics. his views aren't changing. He never trusted the far right or the far left...this is about centrist survival and keeping power, and as i said, it is a very wise move on his part.