keenobserver
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It says nothing about where in the US, like I said there's too much info left out about who was polled and a HELL OF ALOT more than 338,000 vote in an election
The election will be the definitive poll. Anything short of that will be a sample - usually of people who have voted in the past, rather than everyone. In that respect you can get different results. Take 2010 mid terms - Dems polled well, but their people did not vote - paid a price. A poll is not a guaranteed result, or for that matter not an attempt to sway opinion - merely a sample of what people are thinking at that moment.