In a nutshell, the Democrats have shot themselves in the foot. I will list the events that lead to this debacle. I am laying the blame at the foot of Howard Dean and the DNC, not Hillary or Obama. To the Obama supporters. It is true that I name the first two opportunities to get a nominee are for Clinton. But keep reading, your turn is coming and the Democratic Party had an opportunity to name Obama King as well, but didn't. Just keep reading you'll see. 1. The present system of selecting delegates was set up in response to Jesse Jackson's complaint that the winner take all system shut the black vote out. This was not this year, but fairly recently. The fairness of either system is debatable. 2. Howard Dean was named Chairman of the Democratic Party. Dean was a disaster in the last presidential campaign and had a horrible positive rating with the public. I blame Dean for not providing leadership to keep the party united instead of the fragmented ruins that it is in at this moment. 3. Clinton was 30 points ahead. When all the Republican candidates bailed out when McCain was just barely ahead of the others for the sake of the party and to be unified, Dean and the super delegates had a chance to crown a nominee right then and unify the party but they didn't. This has nothing to do with fairness, favorite candidate etc. It was the first opportunity to gather around a candidate and proclaim him or her the nominee. 4. Michigan and Florida. The Republicans set up these early primaries knowing fully well that DEAN would fall for them and he did big time. Dean should have told Obama NOT to remove his name from the Michigan primary, just in case. But Dean being the old idioloque he is would rather lose on principal then win on a technicality. 4. Clinton was the winner on Feb 5. Not by a lot, but still she had more votes that day. Just enough to crown her queen if the Democratic Party has wanted a presumptive nominee if they wanted a nominee right now and not later. Didn't happen. 5. March. Obama is marching taking city after city. It appears that Hillary is going down and down fast. The greatest opportunity of all to for Dean. the DNC and the superdelegates to announce it was over was the last week in March. With 11 straight victories Obama seemed invincible. Had all those superdelegates jumped on the bandwagon on April 1, it would have been over. But it didn't happen. 6. Let me interject here that DEAN is the chairman of the party. His job is not to see that the nomination is the fairest of all, that his candidate or any candidate is the nominee. His job is to keep the party unified and set up a successful run for a Democratic nominee to win the White House. Dean has had three chances. One fairly good to name Clinton. One questionable to name Clinton. and one very good opportunity to name Obama. THAT IS STRIKE THREE At this time the Democratic Party is still unified. The polls at that time showed that as I recall 90 % of Obama and 90 % of Hillary voters would vote for either candidate for President in Novemeber. I may have the percentages wrong, but they were high. They have been dropping ever since and getting perilously close now to half of Clinton supporters and a smaller but still damaging number of Obama supporters. I'll get just a little crude now. It is April 1. Basically Dean, the DNC, and the superdelegates have had three real urges to name a candidate. The last almost overwhelming. they didn't do it. We all know what happens when you keep ignoring that urge to go to the toilet. Yeap. At this point, Dean and superdelegates have pretty much pooped their pants. It is too late now to have a unified party because: 7. April 3. Hillary's Day. and then again the next Tuesday. Hillary shines again. So what to the super delegates do. Start lining up for Obama. Had they done that in March, it wouldn't have riled up many Hillary supporters. After all Hillary had lost 11 primaries in a row. She was significanlty behind in the popular vote. 8. On the day that one system of counting shows that Hillary is ahead in the popular vote, super delegates respond by endorsing Obama. (I'm not defending that system of counting, just pointing out that it is out there.) That really sets the jaws of the Hillary people on edge. If the superdelegates couldn't announce for Obama when he was taking village after village why did they have to announce for him on Hillary's great day at the polls? Bad bad choice of days to make their announcement. Why? It sounds like a opps, Hillary might get the election, we better announce now to get "THAT WOMAN" from being elected. 9. THE GREAT SEXIST CONTROVERSY. A host of things led up to the charge that the media was sexist against Clinton. The key though is that it didn't bubble and boil until April. The press started ignoring Hillary. The press discounted her 70 percent win in West Virginia and 65 % win in Kentucky. So did many super delegates by announcing the day after those primaries that as a result of the day before primaries they were announcing for Obama. Of course they were talking about different primaries on those same days but...that is not how Hillary supporters read it. BITTERNESS SETS IN. 10. There is hope though. Obama and Hillary both noticed at the same time the disaster that happened in April. They both know better than anyone that on April 1 the Democratic Party was still unified. They both knew on May 1 that the party was fragmenting quickly with the number of Hillary voters who would not vote for Obama and the number of Obama supporters who would not vote for Hillary steadily climbing. Notice, that they both want the nomination. It is a history in the making. But Hillary does not want to be the first woman to lose the electoral college vote in November. Obama does not want to be the first black to lose the electoral vote in November. They each will do what they can to win the Democratic nomination. But that does not take action that will so enrage the other wing that there is no way for the winner to win. Goldwater in 1964. The liberal wing refused to support him. Landside loss. McGovern in 1972. The moderate wing of the Democratic Party refused to support McGovern. Landside loss for McGovern. WHAT WE COULD BE READING IN THE NEWS BUT AREN'T: 1.Dean is meet privately with Obama and Hillary in a dinner meeting to talk about the issues facing the Democratic Party Dean announced today. There will be no press releases Dean said, but Dean commented that the Democratic Party is very united. Hillary and Obama are personal friends who both want to do all they can to see a Democrat in the White House next January. 2. Dean announces that after meeting with Hillary and Obama that he will propose to the DNC that half the delegates in Michigan be awarded to Hillary and half to Obama and that the Floriday primary vote be honored with a 10 percent penalty for having the open primaries. Both Hillary and Obama have agreed to support the plan. (Don't fuss over what I wrote, that is not the point. It is the last part that is critical. Dean proposes and Hillary and Obama accept.) 3. Dean tells the nation that as part of the history making process, that the Hillary delegates should put her name in nomination and let it be a historical fact that she had 40 or 45 percent of the delegates on first ballot before the motion that the nomination be made officially unanimous. It is important to many women that this historical fact not be lost in an attempt to unify the party. Hillary has to stay in the race officially as a support to women's equality. Obama knows that more than most of his supporters do. That doesn't mean that the party has to stay divided. CONCLUSION Baring some unforeseen event, Obama is going to be the Democratic nominee. It is DEAN'S job to orchestrate that so that Hillary's position as the first major woman candidate is protected. Hillary's supporters are welcomed by Dean and the DNC, not just Obama. Dean has failed in every opportunity he has been given to wrap up this nomination with a unified party. While he had two chances with Hillary and only one with Obama, the one he had with Obama was stronger than the two with Hillary. Whether you are a Hillary or a Obama supporter, I think you have to agree that the lack of leadership on behalf of the DNC and Dean has had a major impact on the debacle that has just recently surfaced: THAT IS SINCE APRIL 1, THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY POLORAIZED. Sure there was some polarization, but I wouldn't call it major. It is major now. In my area, people are saying that the Democrats have handed the presidency to John McCain and by and large they aren't happy about it. But I live in a predominantly Democratic state. I did my best to write this from a neutral observation as far as Obama and Hillary are concerned. It is the DNC and Howard Dean that alarm me and worry me. It is they that I blame for the present divided party. I don't know what is so hard for true Democrats to understand. To Democrats another four or eight years of McCain will be even a greater disaster to our country than Bush. To Republicans and Independents the following statement doesn't apply to you. BUT: If you are a true Democrat, there is a bigger picture than Hillary or Obama.