You mean, "We will, at last, have peace in our time?" If history teaches anything, it's that there is always a desire for power. Whether power is obtained individually, regionally, or culturally, nations will always vie for what is in their own interest. I always feel a twinge of foreboding any time someone says, "those days are over," because they so very rarely are.
That's not what I am saying Jason. I am talking about political and financial reality. If Iraq is costing $10 billion a day or week or whatever it is, and they wish to be liberated, then the ongoing military option for areas that don't wish to be liberated is not real. I think you mentioned the old British Empire before, and this was the reality for them back then.
IF free trade economics are at work, yes. The reactions of the political parties and the population to the economic changes are, however, extremely relevant. I'm not certain China can do that. The Chinese government has prepared a certain course for a certain future. If that future isn't the one they imagined, then they're up Shit's Creek.
China has delivered. It's pretty much a done deal. There is no credit crunch in China as far as I can see. The danger rather is that they will use their stash of $ to pick up bargains at our financial system yard sale. Actually, I doubt that they will.
China's an ecological mess, the human rights record is abysmal, and they're planning for a future based upon western consumption patterns while practicing laissez-faire capitalism. Their one-child policy is a time bomb and as their population becomes more educated, the more difficult avoiding democracy will become.
Parts of China are an ecological mess.
The Chinese Govt. are anyting but laissez faire, I think.
Their one child policy has been a stroke of genius. It has allowed them a level of control. It's more like putting a tap on a water pipe. They control the fawcett.
It is a mistake to think that democracy is everyone's nirvana. On one level "communism" is far more democratic on a bottom-up scale. How to govern a country with 1.5 billion people will be a very interesting as it is a very challenging situation.
Sounds a bit utopian to me and I think that if it does happen, it's very far off. There are still too many poor and disenfranchised people in the world, too many competing cultures, religions, regionalized resources, and just plain greed.
There is a difference between greed and wanting to do well for your people and to have the place and influence regionally and globally that you think you merit.
Why do you see all these people and their cultures as competing?
Go toss some stones at your own glass house.