Well hopefully you're right, but, as I said several times before, I'm more in favor of being vigilant, even if to the point of overly cautious, than being confident and letting down one's guard. In effect, assuring he hasn't a shot by presuming he DOES.
That comes NOT from polls (online or otherwise) that favor Trump, but from knowing that Trump has defied the polls before, and that his constituency, indeed conservatives in general, usually demonstrate greater zeal (i.e. TURNOUT) in support of their candidates than do Democrats, especially in these last congressional elections.
I look at the fact that a guy who shouldn't even BE in the running for the presidency is practically dead even with Hillary in some states, and I also look at poll results in ways that maybe others DON'T.
Example, various polls have viewers saying Hillary won the debate by 51-54 percent (I think CNN had it in the low 60's) while those saying Trump won were in the 20's. What that tells ME is that close to half the viewers either: a) think Trump won, b) don't think that Hillary won, or c) for whatever reason, won't SAY.
Add to that a lot of young people who (like some interviewed on this evening's newscast) say something like, "I don't like the things Trump says, BUT......."
It's a kind of pessimistic, glass half empty approach, I know, but I prefer it to sitting around the day after going, "Wtf just happened?"
Needless to say, I'd be DELIGHTED to be proven WRONG.