i would hardly say he "owns Federer". he has some very clear advantages, and his style of play is very difficult for Federer to counter on clay, most notably because Nadal is a lefty, and, the key to the victories has been Nadal's topspin forehand on clay vs Federer's one handed backhand, which has proved to be the difference in the matchs...
they have played in their matches a total of 69 sets vs each other...
Nadal leads, 40 sets to 29 sets. if those 69 sets, 16 were decided in tie breakers, and 22 were decided by a single break of service game. in other words, 60% of the sets they have played, have been decided on a tiebreak or one service game break overall....so it is hardly being "owned", though Nadal does have the edge.
So in other words, 60% of the sets they have played Nadal has won What I really mean is, it doesn't matter to me that Nadal won by tiebreaker or by error or what have you, the bottom line is he won and it wasn't a statistical anomaly or coincidence that he was winning those points. The Bills lost 4 Super Bowls, and it didn't matter if it was by one point, in overtime, or by a kick...they never won one.
indeed, he did not play well vs roddick at all...but if you think Roger could not have played any better at Wimbledon, you are a bit off...
Federer played well below his usual level...he served 66%, while Nadal served 73%.
Federer had *52* unforced errors...while Nadal had only 27
Federer uncharacteristically threw away break chances (converted only 1 of 13)
he was poor at the net, converting only 52% of his chances (42 of 75)
and, finally even with all that, Federer won 204 points, Nadal won 209...of the 209 points Nadal won, over 1/4th were Federer unforced errors.
well, a combination, actually. Nadal's relentlessness, and Federer's uncharacteristically huge unforced errors.
This is what drives me crazy. Those are all great numbers to defend your point, but try to think why he was playing poor at the net? Or why he was committing so many *unforced* errors?"Throwing away" break chances or losing them to Nadal because of his relentlesness? It was all uncharacteristic of Federer because it is uncharacteristic of him to get pwned by someone!!! Not mono!
But this is what really gets me going, and maybe you could explain it to me to help shed light on it. What the fuck is an *unforced error*? If someone hits a ball with such great spin or velocity and you are unable to hit it back properly, that is considered an *unforced error*? That seems like the most bogus stat on the planet. First service return errors are considered *forced* errors yet an error on the second serve is considered *unforced*? What a grey area that exists within that stat and it bugs me. If another man hits you a ball and you don't hit it back it was forced. That is what the fucking game is about!!!!
but i have never actually seen Federer get "bullied".
Maybe I just read to much into his facial expressions and body language but he definitely changes when Nadal is on the offensive with him. Maybe he is losing focus or something?
true.
but, we cannot forget, that the slower game and higher bounce favors Nadal, and tennis, has been moving (very sadly) away from speed and skill towards attrition.
Wimbledon surface in 2008 and 2009, is actually now *SLOWER* then most hard courts and it has been changed to a surface which gives a more true bounce.
no longer can the fastere harder hitting players count on the fast, low skidding bounce...instead, more of a true bounce, and less skid and speed, aids the heavy spin, defenders like Nadal...allowing them that extra split second to get to the ball, that on previous surfaces would be a winner past them.
this is an ATP issue, and i really hate the ATP stance on all this...the whole point of having different surfaces and speeds was to provide variety throughout the seasons...
what is the point of different surfaces, if you are going to make them all the same speed and bounce? sort of defeats the purpose.
frankly, i do not like the fact that hard courts are so prevalent...tennis was designed for grass courts, and it is a travesty, that there are only 6 grass court tourneys a year, and they are crammed in to 5 weeks, so, even if you played straight through, you could only play three maximum, since Halle/Queens Club is the same week, then Hertogenbosch/Eastbourne are the same week, then Wimbledon, then Newport (which starts the day after the Wimbledon final, so nobody can effectively enter that has made it into the quarters of wimbledon)
it is absurd...the US Open and Australian used to be on grass decades ago...now they are hard courts...
the constant smashing on hardcourts is causing injuries...
IMO, the entire summer season should play on grass...
Agree with all that...
i do not know if you have ever played on grass, but it is absolutely amazing...i love it. it is how tennis should be played, and always was cept for the clay courts.
I never have, but I dream about it...one day...
anyway, more athletes are going to start breaking down for this simple reason:
if you increase the size of the ball, and then slow down the speed of the surface, it makes for much longer, defensive, rallies...more rallies equals much longer matches, longer matches, leads to wear and tear, and wear and tear and longer matches on hard courts, is a killer. imagine 3-4 miles of quick, side to side movement, bursts and sprints and pounding on essentially concrete.
it is ruining the game IMO.
the balls were even made 6% bigger this year to slow the game down further...advantage to the counterpunchers and defensive baseliners, like NAdal and Murray and Hewitt etc.
Agreed, but those long rallies are fucking great to watch. And Murray is a choker.
i did not think it was a pain to watch necessarily, it was terrifying...though you are right, it was indeed a service war...(though nothing like the horrific 2001 Wimbledon Final between Ivanisevic and Rafter)
well, i don't know if it was *THAT* extreme :wink:
Federer put on the best serving show of his life, wheras Roddick's serve was starting to flag in terms of velocity and consistency from the higher levels earlier in the match...
Federer had several chances where he made it to 30-40, but his return game was way off...had he been on his usual way, it likely would have been a three-four set win and not what it became.
It would have been over in straight sets if Roger wasn't sleep walking. Like I said before, he is lucky he wasn't up against someone like Nadal because he would have been in trouble. Looks like he had mono this time around, not last. I think Roddick's game is boring as hell too.
I respect its efficiency, but it is just a war of attrition style based on causing errors, not hitting winners and being agressive.
Nadal's winners are the fiercest things on Earth
Murray and Nadal i think will be the next rivalry over the years possibly, which will be interesting, since Murray is the only one close to Nadal in terms of ability to retrieve and defend with such capacity.
Nadal will continue to stomp him out unless his injuries ruin him.
I agree that both Federer and Nadal would hand ass whippings to most of the rivals from the Sampras years, but frankly, i think that gets overplayed alot with regards to how good Sampras' competition was.
I think Courier was totally overrated.
Agassi was great, but the pre-98 Agassi was not as good as the Agassi that finally dedicated himself to tennis.
Becker, Edberg were already in decline by 92, Wilander was finished a bit earlier.
aside from that, there were alot of 1 or 2 hit wonders in that era, 1992-2000...Kafelnikov, Breugera, Muster, Krajicek, Moya, Korda...it was still basically Sampras, then Agassi, then everyone else.
I was too young for most of this. Growing up they are all I had to watch so I thought they were all great. I might look differently at them now but I don't know. I youtubed a lot of those players today and some of them were great. Edberg was fantastic.