Re: So what's in next?
Here's what's going to happen:
John Boehner, the new Weeper of the House, is going to have one hell of a time managing his new crop of anti-government frosh Repugnants and Teabaggers while trying to get them to march lockstep with the old guard. Regardless, the party leadership will lie, bribe, promise, and compromise wherever necessary to keep the baggers and bible bangers on the reservation and inside the big Republican circus tent. Meanwhile, many of the presumed committee chairmen are so diametrically opposed to the interests of the people in the context of the committees they will chair, they make my skin crawl.
The House Repugnants will propose a raft of symbolic bills to mollify their right-wing base (and improve their chances of reelection) aimed at reducing taxes and achieving "smaller government" (read cutting taxes for the corporations and the wealthy, deregulation of corporations and large financial institutions, reducing government oversight, and cutting or eliminating social programs). In addition, there will be the usual, empty "flag waving" measures designed to fire up the base and embarass the Democrats into either opposing them or following their lead. Most of their agenda, other than maybe extending the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy and some tinkering with education, will be DOA in the Senate. If anything objectionable passes through both houses, it will be subject to presidential veto, or sent back for some "post-partisan" revision and compromise.
The Republicants in the Senate will filibuster anything and everything they can, whether they agree with it in principle or not, including continuing to hold up hundreds of long delayed considerations on judicial nominees as well as appointments to departments and commissions within the government, refusing to approve funding for bills already passed, e.g. healthcare and the new consumer protection agency, etc. In a word, gridlock. There's a 50/50 chance of another government shutdown, a la Gingrich, to prove once again that "government is the problem" (read "liberal" government is the problem). Notorious "socialists" Lindsay Graham and Olympia Snow will cease whatever bipartisan overtures they've made in the past, being the next Republican senatorial candidates up for reelection in 2012 and already on the Teabag hit list.
The Party of "No" will be the Party of "Hell No". They will hamstring the Democrats and the administration at every opportunity, making the government as ineffective as possible, backing the economy deeper in the ditch, while they blame any negative consequences that result on the president and his fellow "liberals, socialists, and communists". They will take credit for preventing Obama's "radical agenda" and portray themselves as the saviours of "real" Americans. If only the voters will hand them the keys to the kingdom, give them unlimited power in both houses of congress, the judiciary, and the presidency, they will "take back America" and lead us all to the promised land.
Aside from giving the Teabag wing obligatory lip service and occasionally having to cover for the ones who go 'off message', the Republicants will religiously stick to their script of talking points delivered each morning from somewhere on high. The right-wing media loudmouths will continue screaming their propaganda campaign in ever more shrill and hyperbolic tones, however disconnected from reality it is. The mainstream media will for the most part look to their corporate bottom lines and refrain from countering the narrative. Ideological idiots in the electorate, exemplified here by Nick6's, Facequeen, Lurker, Conntom, KTF40, BF2K, et al, will get angrier and angrier while they mindlessly regurgitate the stinking load of propaganda spoonfed to them on a daily basis.
Some congressional Democrats will continue trying to pursue a responsible progressive agenda. In the House the Dems will be as focused and organized as a basketful of kittens unravelling a ball of string. The Senate Dems with their majority intact under the leadership of a resurrected and revitalized Harry Reid will fare better. However, led (or not led as 'twere) by the president, the Dems will be incapable of crafting a simple, coherent, proactive message to communicate their agenda, which the majority of Americans support when it is simply and clearly explained, instead allowing themselves to be defined (wildly and inaccurately) by the opposition.
Based on the just completed 2010 census, the new majority of Republican governors and hordes of new Republican representatives now in control of state legistatures across the country will get busy redrawing voting districts to favor their own kind in the next round of congressional races coming up two years from now. To my mind this is a bigger story than the outcome of these congressional races just past, and so far it's being largely overlooked. As 2012 approaches, the Republicant/Teabag/Corporatist coalition will pull out all the stops to secure their lock on power once and for all and forever, picking and promoting candidates who will bend to their will and advance their agenda, the corporatist agenda, essentially buying elections with unprecedented, unregulated, unaccounted for mountains of cash.
The general public will become increasingly fearful, cynical, confused and disgusted with the whole shebang, being preoccupied with their own struggle for survival and distracting themselves with mindless entertainments, phoney "reality" shows and anti-anxiety pills, self-medicating and tuning out any way they can. Meanwhile, high rollers and bottom feeders on Wall Street will thrive, the big banks will make out like bandits, the rich will get richer, the poor will get poorer, gas prices will go up, '100 year' weather events will occur with increasing frequency, the Middle East will be a powderkeg, terrorists will ply their bombmaking trade, houses will be foreclosed on in record numbers, the legions of homeless will rise, and people will suffer and die for want of life's necessities and basic healthcare. Meanwhile, the world economy could still come crashing down like a house of cards whenever the next shoes drop or people start poking around under that "tarp". Not only are our representatives too busy fighting for political advantage to deal with the current crises, they are wholly unprepared for the next one that could come around the corner at any moment without warning.
It is a sad, disgusting state of affairs. The people know this, they just don't know why, and they can't seem to figure it out on their own. They're fickle too, and where they look for solutions can change with the wind. The Republicans know all this too. They are prepared and committed to filling the confusion vacuum and capitalizing on the anxiety with their own deceptive, jingoistic narrative. They have a simple plan, they are miles ahead of the Democrats and looking far down the road right now. So far, their plan is succeeding. Really, with all the power and money behind them, and all the dirty tricks in their arsenal, and being somewhat lacking in integrity, what's to stop them? Where the fuck are the Democrats? Where the fuck is Obama?
Where is the Obama from the campaign who fought his way into the Oval Office? Where is the "hope and change" he promised? The "change you can believe in"? The people want change. They want something to believe in. The people have been begging for deliverance from this long national nightmare for years. Instead they got a misprioritized, compromised legislative agenda, that while stabilizing "the economy, stupid" (for now, because it's all just been pushed under that "tarp"), overlooked the obvious - jobs, jobs, jobs! The people are begging for a strong, passionate, principled leader. Instead they got a smooth, thoughtful, emotionally detached, long winded, erudite professor - one who completely underestimated the ferocity of the backlash against him and his agenda and the power behind it. One who has failed to defend himself, much less go on the offensive, and worse, failed to defend members of his own party who stuck their necks out for him and for the cause. Instead of a great communicator, the people got a great conciliator, one who believed if he was reasonable and accomodating, stayed out of the trenches and did the right thing, the people would notice. They didn't. They don't. The people are sadly uninformed, misinformed, distracted and stupid. You have to explain things to them in simple, yet memorable terms they can understand and do it over and over. (See FDR. See "Bring it on!") What we have here is a failure to communicate, Mr. Obama.
From day one, the Republicans have expolited the president's reasonableness and attempts at compromise as a weakness, a weakness which they have now transferred to the mind of the electorate. Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and getting the same bad result, or something like that. I think Obama has said that about the Republicans on more than one occasion. He would do well to heed his own adage. The only way I see the above scenario changing is if Obama stops being Mr. Nice guy, stops this conciliatory "post-partisan" bullshit, and stops taking it up the ass at every opportunity - i.e. he suddenly gets religion, gets pissed off, finds his balls again, and decides to stand up strong, fight back, and lead his party. Above all, he needs to figure out how to connect again - to sell himself and his agenda to the people. It's a tall order, I know, but one can "hope". If he doesn't, I wouldn't be at all surprised if he faces a formidable challenge from within his own party for the nomination. I'm looking ahead to what, if anything, he pushes in the upcoming lame duck session of congress and in his State of the Union address come January. Then we shall see . . . .
It's all in now, Mr. President. No more pussyfootin. Time to man up and show us what you're made of.
Give us some of that hope. Give us something to believe in.
p.s. It's noteworthy that with a few high profile exceptions, most of the more liberal Democrats managed to retain their seats. The ones who were eliminated were the centrists and blue dogs who drifted right and avoided the tough votes thinking it would sink their reelection chances. Ironic, ain't it?