3XL: Mindseye:
Take a look at this:
http://www.mercurynews.com/mld/mercurynews...10096403.htm?1c
"...But gay marriages in San Francisco and Massachusetts -- and the intense backlash they created among conservative voters -- played a huge role in mobilizing evangelical Christians to the polls, particularly in the battleground state of Ohio.
Voters in 11 states across the country, from Arkansas to Kentucky to North Dakota, adopted constitutional bans on same-sex marriage Tuesday, in many cases by a 3-1 ratio. Even in Michigan and Oregon -- states won by Sen. John Kerry -- the bans passed handily.
``Five judges in Massachusetts and the mayor of San Francisco may have done more to help George W. Bush's campaign then anything else,'' said Richard Cizik, vice president for governmental affairs at the National Association of Evangelicals, which has 30 million members. ``Evangelicals turned out as much to vote for these amendments as they did to vote for President Bush. It got them to the polls.'' ... "
Apparently this columnist saw the backlash as a liability.
What I am suggesting here is that you can not project your beliefs on the outcome. There is a very strong statistical correlation that shows that the issue brought extra conservatives to the forefront to voice thier concern.
Maybe the voter that turned out don't represent the true majority opinon, so I guess the Democrats failed to mobilize more people than the conservatives, but the exit polling data that gives us some hint as to WHY people voted the way they did - gay rights were an undenyable liability for 2004.
Maybe things will be different in 2008, but it's wise not to ignore the past.