SGOT,
Yes, I guess you got the problem down to probability estimations, yours and mine.
Now you are using the imperfect knowledge argument (funny). I'm using Creator:Creation terminology for the moment, not "designer".
Creator in it's widest form however, doesn't need a conciousness, if you start talking about what created the Unvierse, we enter the realm of science and any talk of God can be discarded.
I talk about God or a Designer, because that implies sentience, or some sort of being; which is necissary for any idea of "God" unless you are gonig to make an exceedingly wide definition of God.
How does God needing a God disprove God. I'm willing to stop at the first iteration of God at this time. BTW, God seems to be outside the Universe looking in. Think along Rat Biosphere example.
I'm sorry, but you cannot just "stop" and say "There is no god of gods, or any god of gods of gods" because that is a leap of faith and you start developing a theism, which you claim not to be doing.
The logical step from "everything has a designer" is that "God has a designer" if you deny that step, you deny logic, and faith rears it's ugly head.
Just because you say they are good reasons does not make them so.
Again, your 'compelling' reasons are against a White Haired Man God (that you borrow from Dawkins) and not the base class Creator God
I have a qualm with any designer God, everything I have said is applicable to any God who is thought of as the designer of the unvierse.
Don't make the guy a whiner. He says, "There is no empirical evidence to prove conclusively either way. Though we can inductively attempt to determine the (non)existence of Creator God"
As you say yourself, there is never any conclusive proof either way, thats why we talk about probability. And as I've already mentioned that God is illogical, and unnecissary, I think that takes the probability waaaay down.
It is probably 50-50 chance there isn't a Creator (or not

proving a negative). Not the 99-1 odds you so comfortably would
probably espouse.
Prove it. I seem to be the only one giving reasons here, I don't think you are exempt, and proving a negative still has very little to do with it - you can't prove that we arent simply brains in vats thinking that we have this conversation...
Get a hold of inductive reasoning and read some of JA's less empirical posts and you will start to see several reasons to start considering different probability odds.
I am very much aware of what Inductive reasoning is (I even read a passage from one of my favorate books about logic to check that I was correct), and unless you can point out what exactly you mean, this looks like diversion tactics to me, as I'm not very well going to sit and read through every one of JA's posts.
No it wasn't the empirical approach, it was a faith based point of view.
You can continue to make playground "no it;s not" statements all you like, but I have yet to see you reason properly here.
As I see it some 'rat' could come up with the idea of there being no Creator (or need for a Creator) despite common observations and assert a negative with every expectation of being able to prove it. But in the end being unable to do so for lack of empirical evidence and relying on inductive reasoning and therefor having to take some of his premises on 'faith'.
spiker
P.S. Don't forget to consider Pascal's wager.
Ok, finally I get something to work with, you actually state what you mean for once instead of just saying "no" everytime I say something.
I have not made a properly inductive arguement here, as an inductive arguement runs like this:
(I'm coining my own logic language here)
Key:
tx = "Time x"
P = Any observable proposition
a > b = "At 'a', 'b' was the case"
1: t1 > P
2: t2 > P
3: t3 > P
4: Therefore: P
You are very correct that an inductive arguement isn't very good logic and it's a generalisation (exactly the one I pointed out that you were using - "everything I have observed..." to "Everything in the Unvierse"), however, I'm using a different line of arguement here than you are thinking, I'm saying the following:
[This is in Propositional Logic defined by Prof Paul Tomassi]
P: Nothing can be proven to a point of certainty either way
Q: Everything is a matter of probability
R: By 'Probability' I mean weighing up the evidence for vs the evidence against and seeing which is the more likely
S: I have seen several good arguements against the existence of a God/designer/sentient creator
T: I have seen no Good arguements for the existence of a God/designer/sentient creator
U:It is very unlikely that a God/designer/sentient creator exists
1: P
2: R
3: S
4: T
5: R -> (P -> Q)
6: ((Q & R) & (S&T)) ->U
7: P -> Q 2,5 MP
8: Q 1,7 MP
10: Q&R 2,8 &I
11: S&T 9,10 MP
12: (Q & R) & (S&T) 10,11 &I
13: U 12,6 MP
Notice my deployment of "unlikely" into the whole thing, making this an deductive rather than inductive arguement, proveable by logic.
I have possibly made a mistake or two with that proof, it's been a while since I had to express something formally, but maybe now this arguement can get somewhere.
And you can shove Pascal's Wager sideways, I've already pointed out why its a piece of piss. :tongue:
As I mentioned in PM, this is an interesting read, for sure. However, this essay is nothing more than semantic doublespeak. In terms of formal logic, nothing is actually demonstrated at all.
And so, on the tenth page, HazelGod said "Let there be Formal Logic!" And SomeGuyOverThere sayeth "It is so!", and lo it was so, and all was good in the thread, for logic had atlast been created.